I’m still getting the feeling that Harris will win.
But if she doesn’t, I don’t think they’ll exist as a viable political party by 2028, and not because people will lose faith in them. I think Trump will weaponize as many aspects of the government as he possibly can against anyone and any group he sees as a threat or challenge to himself, and one of those groups is the Democratic Party. And I also think he’ll direct the more militant groups of his followers (3%ers, proud boys, etc) much more explicitly in the conduct of violence against his opponents - up to and including having direct contact with their leadership.
I’m not being hyperbolic. This is a playbook we’ve seen before. Harris losing would be roughly equivalent in many ways to the NSDAP (that would be the Nazis) rise to power in the early 1930s.
I think they’ll basically be a controlled opposition party. Having only one party control the entire government should be a red flag for most Republican voters. Keeping them at a consistent 20-30% of all offices is a good way to say, “Look, you have choice. Not our fault Democrats have unpopular policies and can’t muster a majority anymore.”
But as I see it, Trump et al will think it’s a super bigly power move if they can just destroy the Democratic Party outright, so they’ll probably try to do that anyways
I no longer think it is. Anyone that can look at what Trump did from 2017 through 2021, and what he’s saying that he will do if elected, and still vote for him, isn’t someone that cares about a single party dominating politics.
I mean we have two parties fundamentally representing similar donor interests, they swap controlled opposition roles which is more convincing than one party constantly being controlled opposition.
The US, and bourgeois democracies in general, have less political variation than one party socialist democracies. In China you have everyone from liberals (right wingers) to Maoists in government. In the US you basically only have liberals and scratched liberals.
I’m still getting the feeling that Harris will win.
But if she doesn’t, I don’t think they’ll exist as a viable political party by 2028, and not because people will lose faith in them. I think Trump will weaponize as many aspects of the government as he possibly can against anyone and any group he sees as a threat or challenge to himself, and one of those groups is the Democratic Party. And I also think he’ll direct the more militant groups of his followers (3%ers, proud boys, etc) much more explicitly in the conduct of violence against his opponents - up to and including having direct contact with their leadership.
I’m not being hyperbolic. This is a playbook we’ve seen before. Harris losing would be roughly equivalent in many ways to the NSDAP (that would be the Nazis) rise to power in the early 1930s.
I think they’ll basically be a controlled opposition party. Having only one party control the entire government should be a red flag for most Republican voters. Keeping them at a consistent 20-30% of all offices is a good way to say, “Look, you have choice. Not our fault Democrats have unpopular policies and can’t muster a majority anymore.”
Yes, that’s another distinct possibility.
But as I see it, Trump et al will think it’s a super bigly power move if they can just destroy the Democratic Party outright, so they’ll probably try to do that anyways
I no longer think it is. Anyone that can look at what Trump did from 2017 through 2021, and what he’s saying that he will do if elected, and still vote for him, isn’t someone that cares about a single party dominating politics.
I mean we have two parties fundamentally representing similar donor interests, they swap controlled opposition roles which is more convincing than one party constantly being controlled opposition.
The US, and bourgeois democracies in general, have less political variation than one party socialist democracies. In China you have everyone from liberals (right wingers) to Maoists in government. In the US you basically only have liberals and scratched liberals.