This comes from a long line of shoddy “research” exaggerating potential effects of nuclear war. With MAD in place, like it was for the last 70 years, there’s no need to make shit up, it’d be as bad as it can be. At first, they tried to convince people that NOx generated in fireball would strip atmosphere out of ozone; when proven wrong with experimental evidence (supersonic airliners generate some NOx; their output was big enough that it should have some effect on ozone layer according to their model, but it had none) they pivoted to “nuclear winter”:

Although never openly acknowledged by the multi-disciplinary team who authored the most popular 1980s TTAPS model, in 2011 the American Institute of Physics states that the TTAPS team (named for its participants, who had all previously worked on the phenomenon of dust storms on Mars, or in the area of asteroid impact events: Richard P. Turco, Owen Toon, Thomas P. Ackerman, James B. Pollack and Carl Sagan) announcement of their results in 1983 “was with the explicit aim of promoting international arms control”.[91] However, “the computer models were so simplified, and the data on smoke and other aerosols were still so poor, that the scientists could say nothing for certain”.[91]

When proven wrong again with empirical evidence of oil fires of 1991 Gulf War, they shut up for some time:

When Operation Desert Storm began in January 1991, coinciding with the first few oil fires being lit, Dr. S. Fred Singer and Carl Sagan discussed the possible environmental effects of the Kuwaiti petroleum fires on the ABC News program Nightline. Sagan again argued that some of the effects of the smoke could be similar to the effects of a nuclear winter, with smoke lofting into the stratosphere, beginning around 48,000 feet (15,000 m) above sea level in Kuwait, resulting in global effects. He also argued that he believed the net effects would be very similar to the explosion of the Indonesian volcano Tambora in 1815, which resulted in the year 1816 being known as the “Year Without a Summer”.

The idea of oil well and oil reserve smoke pluming into the stratosphere serving as a main contributor to the soot of a nuclear winter was a central idea of the early climatology papers on the hypothesis; they were considered more of a possible contributor than smoke from cities, as the smoke from oil has a higher ratio of black soot, thus absorbing more sunlight.[93][101]

In a 1992 follow-up, Peter Hobbs and others had observed no appreciable evidence for the nuclear winter team’s predicted massive “self-lofting” effect and the oil-fire smoke clouds contained less soot than the nuclear winter modelling team had assumed.[118]

The atmospheric scientist tasked with studying the atmospheric effect of the Kuwaiti fires by the National Science Foundation, Peter Hobbs, stated that the fires’ modest impact suggested that “some numbers [used to support the Nuclear Winter hypothesis]… were probably a little overblown.”[119]

then came back again hoping that someone would not remember the former and believe them. Even one of authors (Owen B. Toon) is the same, they cite their old papers and use old wrong numbers. This is not somebody trying to figure out how reality works, this is somebody trying to sell you a story. That story tries to make them relevant, but they aren’t anymore, and more importantly they’re wrong

This all is also before noticing that 70s era nuclear arsenal doesn’t even exist anymore, so their predictions lack a plausible starting point in the first place. It’s horseshit start to finish

mapa IMGW

I tak ma dobrze że nie wpakowali go na front od razu. Słyszałem gdzieś że sławni i bogaci - on by się łapał - trafiają do BARS Kaskad, to są droniarze ale poza tym nie jestem pewien gdzie stacjonują ani z jakimi jednostkami

if you could make grant proposals that aren’t so filled with buzzwords to be borderline fraudulent that’d be great because i also need grant money please and thank you

that’s just physicists needing an excuse to run some simulations and publish them

there are some tradeoffs

that train used to have peak speed of about 150km/h on that route maybe it’s a bit faster by now. these five stops are in three cities, and there’s 250km-ish distance between them. (and all built for EU money) by that 30 minute mark it started slowing down and was something like 60km away from city

high speed train. a scrawny dude in a tracksuit asks someone when the train will stop. next station in 40 minutes, someone tells him. (there are only five stops and all in large cities) this reassures him for a while.

30 minutes to the city. dude stands up and asks when will the train stop. the same someone tells him that in half an hour, but this time he doesn’t chill out. he wants to get out, RIGHT NOW. dude gets increasingly more agitated and hovers around train door. he found a hammer somewhere and tried to break open glass in that door, but it’s reinforced so it doesn’t fall apart. at that point someone alerted train staff. he wants to get out, right now, and won’t through that hole. train got stopped shortly after, everyone in that car was moved out to others. other than that dude, that is, now without hammer, repeating I WANNA GET OUT

some of staff tries to pacify him, but it doesn’t work. border guard and some other uniformed officer, both on leave, tackle him and hold until railway security arrive. it took six of them to take that tracksuit dude out to ambulance. (he got to leave train) motherfucker caused 4h of delay for this train and many delays downstream

post-elon twitter is bad, but both fb and yt overtakes it vastly by having much larger user base

strategy as old as the day when some corporate ghoul clocked that more engagement = more ad time. facebook is probably the worst offender with youtube being a close second

szpiedzy, tak, ale też opozycjoniści. Kara-Murza np

to i tak lepiej niż gonzalo lira, youtuber redpillowiec przerobiony na “niezaleźne źródło informacji”, tyle że ten zaimplantował się w Charkowie. zdechł w ukraińskim więzieniu na coś zaraźliwego (gruźlica?), po tym jak tam trafił jak wrócił do Charkowa mimo ekstradycji i zakazu wjazdu do Ukrainy. i tak, też był szpiegiem, w sensie raportował gdzie pociski spadają albo coś podobnego

deleted by creator

jednym z nich jest Paweł Rubcow aka Pablo Gonzalez, rosyjski szpieg, prowokator i siewca dezinformacji działający pod przykrywką hiszpańskiego dziennikarza. złapali go trzeciego dnia wojny na granicy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pablo_González_Yagüe

i’ve seen possibly one of more egregious example of this like three days ago. gopro video of a trench warfare, cameraman (ukrainian) shoots two intruders (russian) one of which has no face attached by the end of video with bits of it dripping to the ground. audio track is bleeped out and subtitles are **** out too for some reason

or anything involving youtube, or gods have mercy if that nipple hating son of a bitch zuckerberg notices something. then you can say goodbye to your account

did it ever?

start here https://slate.com/technology/2021/10/facebook-unfollow-everything-cease-desist.html

airstrips longer than 1600m (iirc) were at some point designated as strategic targets by soviets, so you assumed correctly

turns out that flat strips of concrete firmly attached to ground are pretty hard to damage

if you’re gonna die in nuclear strike, it’ll be most likely because a building you’re in collapses. unless you’re very close to a target that might get a ground burst or small nuke, like airport, large transit node like cargo railroad terminal, high level military command hq or such, you shouldn’t worry too hard about radiation either. in any other case, if you’re within fatal radiation dose range, then you’re also deep within overpressure-that-will-collapse-any-building range and instant-third-degree-burn-and-beyond range. at smaller yields you’ll see fireball range greater than fatal radiation range. play around with https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/ to get the idea

if you’re outside, you’ll get thermal burns and might be thrown around but as long as nothing falls on you, and ignoring burns, you should be mostly fine. there won’t be utilities, no power, no water, no communications, so you better have some batteries. if you have shelter, then if you have water and food to weather it out, and if you’re upwind of groundbursts if any, then you’ll probably survive

…long enough to be drafted, because in space of day we went from peace to total war